Parameters:
Mov1: The time period for the first exponential moving average. The
default value is usually 12, referring to 12 bars of whatever
timeframe plotted on the chart. (This is the fast moving average.)
Mov2: The time period for the subtracted exponential moving average.
The default value is usually 26, referring to 26 bars. (This is the
slow moving average.)
Trigger: The period of 9 bars for the signal line representing an
additional exponential moving average.
The MACD study can be interpreted like any other trend-following
analysis: One line crossing another indicates either a buy or sell
signal. When the MACD crosses above the signal line, an uptrend may
be starting, suggesting a buy. Conversely, the crossing below the
signal line may indicate a downtrend and a sell signal. The
crossover signals are more reliable when applied to weekly charts,
though this indicator may be applied to daily charts for short-term
trading.
The MACD can signal overbought and oversold trends, if analyzed as
an oscillator that fluctuates above and below a zero line. The
market is oversold (buy signal) when both lines are below zero, and
it is overbought (sell signal) when the two lines are above the zero
line.
The MACD can also help identify divergences between the indicator
and price activity, which may signal trend reversals or trend losing
momentum. A bearish divergence occurs when the MACD is making new
lows while prices fail to reach new lows. This can be an early
signal of a downtrend losing momentum. A bullish divergence occurs
when the MACD is making new highs while prices fail to reach new
highs. Both of these signals are most serious when they occur at
relatively overbought/oversold levels. Weekly charts are more
reliable than daily for divergence analysis with the MACD indicator.
For more details on the MACD, Appel has a book in print, entitled:
"The Moving Average Convergence-Divergence Trading Method."
As with most other computer-generated technical indicators, the MACD
is a "secondary" indicator in my trading toolbox. It is not as
important as my "primary" technical indicators, such as trend lines,
chart gaps, chart patterns and fundamental analysis. I use the MACD
to help me confirm signals that my primary indicators may be
sending.
That is it for this week. You can also visit my daily blog at
www.traderblogs.com.
Have a great weekend!